tariff war

Trump has said at least five times in the three months since the Iran war that it's ending. Now, it really does have to because his approval ratings are hitting all-time lows

Canada's economy unexpectedly contracted by 0.1% in the first quarter, marking two consecutive quarters of decline and sparking debate over a technical recession. Prolonged U.S. tariff uncertainty and geopolitical headwinds have impacted business investment and driven up domestic prices, though some economists dispute the recession label due to a lack of widespread weakness.

Republican politicians face a stark choice: unwavering loyalty to Donald Trump or political oblivion. Recent primary defeats, like Senator John Cornyn's, underscore Trump's absolute control. Conservatism alone is insufficient; submission to Trump is paramount. This dynamic forces GOP figures to prioritize his approval, even as national polls show unease, highlighting a deep ideological divide within the party.

Rubio’s visit has brought back the familiar grammar of Indo-US ties, but White House’s approach has shifted. Now, it’s mostly about what India can do for US. Plus, those niggling questions about China & Pakistan

Will lead a central bank oriented toward reform, says new chair

Global powers are now vying for India's attention, recognizing its growing influence. While the US seeks to bolster trade, India has been actively forging significant trade agreements, positioning itself as a reliable and indispensable partner in a shifting geopolitical landscape.

Indian markets remained steady near record highs despite rising oil prices due to Iran tensions. Strong corporate earnings, particularly from Dollar Tree and Kohl's, bolstered investor confidence. While some companies faced headwinds from higher fuel costs, others like Snowflake saw significant gains driven by AI growth. Inflation data showed a slight acceleration, impacting Treasury yields.

Acknowledging the impact of the West Asia crisis, the RBI has said that several factors will help India counter the negative effects and emerge strong.

Delhi's IGI Airport, managed by GMR Group, has expanded its capacity to handle 10.5 crore passengers annually, with current traffic at 7.9 crore. The airport is prioritizing an automated people mover and enhancing city-side connectivity. Despite short-term impacts from geopolitical events, GMR remains bullish on India's aviation growth.

Moody's chief economist Mark Zandi warns of a 40% recession risk in the US within a year, citing 'counterproductive policy choices' like tariffs and restrictive immigration. He suggests abandoning these policies, ending the Iran war, and letting the Fed maintain steady interest rates could avert a downturn, despite slowing job growth.

NATO allies are left in a state of confusion as President Donald Trump reveals the deployment of 5,000 troops to Poland, pivoting sharply from a prior decision to withdraw the same number. This abrupt change, coming after numerous discussions on scaling back US military involvement in Europe, has sparked doubts about the reliability of American support among allied nations.

India’s pharmaceutical & software entrepreneurs show how economic strength matters in disrupted geopolitics. We should build such partnerships across the economy to navigate global headwinds

Rupee depreciation is not new, what is new however is the rapid pace at which it is falling. It’s the biggest risk for India’s external sector resilience at the moment. In just over a year, the rupee has depreciated over 14%.

Chinese President Xi Jinping invoked the "Thucydides Trap" during talks with US President Donald Trump, highlighting concerns that the rising power's growth could lead to conflict with the established dominant power. This theory, popularized by Graham Allison, suggests structural tensions make war more likely, a concept now central to global geopolitical debates involving trade wars and technological competition.